Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.532428e-06 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008
2025-06-15 3.880306e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010
2025-06-22 3.333985e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011
2025-06-29 2.952468e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013
2025-07-06 2.615434e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014
2025-07-13 2.388200e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016
2025-07-20 2.222341e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019
2025-07-27 2.063911e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022
2025-08-03 1.944843e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025
2025-08-10 1.817636e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029
2025-08-17 1.720441e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033
2025-08-24 1.596259e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036
2025-08-31 1.504927e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000041
2025-09-07 1.429937e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000047
2025-09-14 1.337031e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000021 0.000052
2025-09-21 1.265620e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000058
2025-09-28 1.188192e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000064
2025-10-05 1.135978e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000072
2025-10-12 1.097649e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000085
2025-10-19 1.054552e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000028 0.000097
2025-10-26 1.022171e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000031 0.000115
2025-11-02 9.811220e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000033 0.000130
2025-11-09 9.497031e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000152